The Multiple Hypothesis Testing Problem

If you test for significance enough, you’re going to find something significant

Bhavik Patel
Product Coalition
Published in
5 min readMar 7, 2022

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You’re about to run an experiment you think will improve your website conversion rate. You state your null hypothesis, H0, and your alternative hypothesis, H1:

H0: There is no difference in conversion rate
H1: There is a difference in conversion rate

You design your experiment (calculate sample size and establish a significance level, for example, α = 0.05) and set it live in an…

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Founder of CAUSL, a product measurement consultancy. Ex-Director/Head of Analytics at Hopin/Gousto/MOO/PhotoBox. Twitter: @dodonerd